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| \documentclass[uebung]{lecture} | |||
| \title{Wtheo 0: Übungsblatt 7} | |||
| \author{Josua Kugler, Christian Merten} | |||
| \renewcommand{\P}{\mathbb{P}} | |||
| \usepackage{stmaryrd} | |||
| \begin{document} | |||
| \punkte[25] | |||
| \stepcounter{aufgabe} | |||
| \begin{aufgabe} | |||
| \begin{enumerate}[(a)] | |||
| \item Es gilt | |||
| \begin{align*} | |||
| \mathbbm{f}^{X + Y}(z) &= [\mathbbm{f}^X * \mathbbm{f}^Y](z)\\ | |||
| &= \int_{-\infty}^\infty \mathbbm{f}^X(z-x) \mathbbm{f}^Y(x)\d {x}\\ | |||
| &= \int_{-\infty}^\infty \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi \sigma_1^2}}e^{-\frac{1}{2\sigma_1^2}((z- x) - \mu_1)^2}\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi \sigma_2^2}}e^{-\frac{1}{2\sigma_2^2}(x - \mu_2)^2} \d{x}\\ | |||
| \intertext{Durch die Substitution $x \mapsto x + \mu_2$ erhalten wir} | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2\sigma_1^2}((z- x) - (\underbrace{\mu_1 + \mu_2}_{\eqqcolon \mu}))^2 -\frac{1}{2\sigma_2^2}x^2} \d{x}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2\sigma_1^2}(x - z + \mu)^2 -\frac{1}{2\sigma_2^2}x^2} \d{x}\\ | |||
| \intertext{Wir substituieren $z = z - \mu$. } | |||
| \mathbbm{f}^{X + Y}(z + \mu) &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2\sigma_1^2}(x - z)^2 -\frac{1}{2\sigma_2^2}x^2} \d{x}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2} \left[\left(\frac{1}{\sigma_1^2} + \frac{1}{\sigma_2^2}\right)x^2 - 2\frac{1}{\sigma_1^2} xz + \frac{1}{\sigma_1^2}z^2 \right]} \d{x}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2}\frac{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2\cdot \sigma_2^2}\left[x^2 - 2\frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2} xz + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}z^2 \right]} \d{x}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2}\frac{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2\cdot \sigma_2^2}\left[\left(x - \frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2} z\right)^2 - \frac{\sigma_2^4}{(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)^2}z^2 + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}z^2\right] } \d{x}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2}\frac{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2\cdot \sigma_2^2}\left[\left(x - \frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2} z\right)^2\right]} \cdot e^{- \frac{1}{2} \left[- \frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)} + \sigma_1^2\right]z^2} \d{x} | |||
| \intertext{Subsitution $x \coloneqq x + \frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}z$ und erhalten} | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2}\frac{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2 \sigma_2^2} x^2} \d{x} \cdot e^{- \frac{1}{2} \left[- \frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)} + \frac{1}{\sigma_1^2}\right]z^2} \\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi\sigma_1\sigma_2} \cdot \frac{\sigma_1\sigma_2}{\sqrt{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}}\int_{-\infty}^\infty e^{-\frac{1}{2}x^2} \d{x}\cdot e^{- \frac{1}{2} \left[- \frac{\sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)} + \frac{\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2}{\sigma_1^2(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)}\right]z^2} \\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)}} \cdot e^{- \frac{1}{2(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)}z^2} | |||
| \intertext{Resubstitution $z \coloneqq z + \mu = z+\mu_1 + \mu_2$} | |||
| \mathbbm{f}^{X + Y}(z) &= \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)}} \cdot e^{- \frac{1}{2(\sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)}(z - (\mu_1 + \mu_2))^2} | |||
| \end{align*} | |||
| Daraus folgt $X + Y = N_{(\mu_1+ \mu_2, \sigma_1^2 + \sigma_2^2)}$. | |||
| \item Es ist bekannt, dass $n \cdot \overline{X_n} = \sum_{i = 1}^{n} X_i \sim N_{(n\mu, n\sigma^2)}$ für $X_i \sim N_{(\mu, \sigma^2)}$. | |||
| Wir betrachten nun $h(X) = \frac{1}{\sqrt{n\sigma^2}} X - \frac{\sqrt{n}\mu}{\sigma}$. Nach dem Transformationssatz gilt dann für $Z_n = h(n \cdot \overline{X_n})$: | |||
| \begin{align*} | |||
| \mathbbm{f}^{Z_n}(y) &= \sqrt{n\sigma^2} \frac{1}{2\pi n\sigma^2}e^{-\frac{1}{2n \sigma^2}(\sqrt{n\sigma^2}(y + \sqrt{n}\sigma^{-1} \mu) - n\mu)^2}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi} e^{-\frac{1}{2n \sigma^2}(\sqrt{n\sigma^2}y + n\mu - n\mu)^2}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi} e^{-\frac{1}{2n \sigma^2}\cdot n\sigma^2y^2}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{2\pi} e^{-\frac{1}{2}y^2}\\ | |||
| \end{align*} | |||
| Daher gilt $Z_n \sim N_{(0,1)}$. | |||
| \end{enumerate} | |||
| \end{aufgabe} | |||
| \stepcounter{aufgabe} | |||
| \begin{aufgabe} | |||
| \begin{enumerate}[(a)] | |||
| \item Nach dem Dichtetransformationssatz gilt | |||
| \begin{align*} | |||
| \mathbbm{f}^{AX + b}(y) &= \frac{1}{|\det(A)|} \mathbbm{f}^{X}(A^{-1}(y-b))\\ | |||
| &= \det{AA^t}^{-\frac{1}{2}} \cdot (2\pi)^{-\frac{n}{2}} \det{\Sigma}^{-\frac{1}{2}} e^{-\frac{1}{2}\langle \Sigma^{-1}(A^{-1}(y-b)- \mu), A^{-1}(y-b) - \mu \rangle}\\ | |||
| &= \det{A\Sigma A^t}^{-\frac{1}{2}} (2\pi)^{-\frac{n}{2}} e^{-\frac{1}{2}\langle\Sigma^{-1}A^{-1}(y - (A\mu + b)), A^{-1}(y - (A\mu + b))\rangle}\\ | |||
| &= \det{A\Sigma A^t}^{-\frac{1}{2}} (2\pi)^{-\frac{n}{2}} e^{-\frac{1}{2}\langle A^{-t}\Sigma^{-1}A^{-1}(y - (A\mu + b)), (y - (A\mu + b))\rangle}\\ | |||
| &= \det{A\Sigma A^t}^{-\frac{1}{2}} (2\pi)^{-\frac{n}{2}} e^{-\frac{1}{2}\langle (A\Sigma A^t)^{-1}(y - (A\mu + b)), (y - (A\mu + b))\rangle} | |||
| \end{align*} | |||
| Daher gilt $AX + b \sim N_{A\mu + b, A\Sigma A^t}$. | |||
| \item Wir definieren $E_{ij}$ mit $(E_{ij})_{kl} = \delta_{ik}\delta_{jl}$. | |||
| Dann erhalten wir durch $P_{ij} = \sum_{i = 1}^{n} E_{ii} - E_{ii} - E_{jj} + E_{ij} + E_{ji}$ eine Permutationsmatrix. | |||
| Für $Y = P_{1i}X$ gilt $Y \sim N_{(P_{1i}\mu, P_{1i}\Sigma P_{i1})} = N_{(P_{1i}\mu, \Sigma)}$. | |||
| Da $\Sigma = LDL^t$ für eine normiert untere Dreiecksmatrix $L$ und eine Diagonalmatrix $D$, erhalten wir | |||
| \[ | |||
| L^{-1}Y - L^{-1}P_i\mu \sim N_{(L^{-1} \mu - L^{-1}\mu, L^{-1}L D L^t L^{-t})} = N_{(0, D)} | |||
| \] | |||
| Es gilt | |||
| \begin{align*} | |||
| \mathbbm{f}^{(L^{-1}Y - L^{-1}P_i\mu)_1}(x_1) &= \int_{-\infty}^\infty \cdots \int_{-\infty}^\infty \mathbbm{f}^{L^{-1}Y - L^{-1}P_i\mu}(x_1, \dots, x_n) \d{x_n} \d{x_2}\\ | |||
| &= \int_{-\infty}^\infty \cdots \int_{-\infty}^\infty \frac{1}{(2\pi)^{\frac{n}{2}}} \cdot (\det D)^{-\frac{1}{2}} e^{-\frac{1}{2}\langle D^{-1}x, x\rangle} \d{x_n} \cdots \d{x_2}\\ | |||
| &= (\det D)^{-\frac{1}{2}}\prod_{i = 2}^{n} \int_{-\infty}^\infty \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}} e^{-\frac{1}{2}\sum_{i = 2}^{n} D_{ii}^{-1}x_i^2}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{\sqrt{D_{22}\cdot \dots \cdot D_{nn}}}{\sqrt{\det D}} \cdot \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{-\frac{1}{2}D_{11}^{-1} x_1^2}\\ | |||
| &= \frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi D_{11}}}e^{-\frac{1}{2D_{11}} x_1^2}\\ | |||
| \mathbbm{f}^{X_i - \mu_i}(x_i)&\sim N_{(0, D_{11})} = N_{(0, Y_{11})} = N_{(0, X_{ii})}\\ | |||
| \mathbbm{f}^{X_i} &\sim N_{(\mu_i, X_{ii})} | |||
| \end{align*} | |||
| \item c | |||
| \end{enumerate} | |||
| \end{aufgabe} | |||
| \end{document} | |||